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Matt Brainard

State House candidate from Montana who won a razor-thin 1.6-point race in 1998

Republican
State House
Electoral Grade
Requires 3+ graded races
1
Races
1-0
W-L (100%)
-1.6
Avg Margin
1998
Career Span
Best: +-1.6 (1998 State House)Worst: -1.6 (1998 State House)
100%
Win Rate
2K
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 15, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Timeline

1,867
Candidate Votes
50.8%
Vote %
3,674
Total Votes
-1.6%
Margin
Top opponent: John LynnDEM

Geographic Performance

1 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

1 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Opponents Faced1 opponent

Historian Query

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Ask the Historian

Interactive AI-powered chat about Matt Brainard's career, opponents, and performance.

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