Akashic EdgeAKASHIC EDGE
ElectionsCandidates
HistorianCartographer2026 ForecastArticlesAPIPricing

Latest Articles

    View all articles →

    Browse by Category

      Data Tools

      • Elections
      • Candidates
      • The Historian
      • The Cartographer
      • American Nations
      • States & Counties
      • Congressional Districts

      About

      Akashic HQ provides deep political data analysis covering 165 years of U.S. elections.

      • Data Sources & Methodology
      • Pricing
      • API Documentation
      • Contact

      © 2026 Akashic HQ. All rights reserved.

      Data: MIT Election Lab, VEST, Census Bureau
      Home›Candidates›Joe Donnelly

      Joe Donnelly

      Democratic

      Won 4 consecutive elections (2006–2012)

      US SenateUS HouseState House
      Electoral Grade
      A-
      +14.5 pts
      avg overperformance
      Better than 80% of candidates2 graded races

      Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.

      7
      Races
      4-3
      W-L (57%)
      +9.5
      Avg Margin
      2004–2018
      Career Span
      Best: +36.9 (2008 House)Worst: -9.6 (2004 House)

      Career Margin Trend7 races

      R+20EvenD+202004200520062008201020122018

      Career Timeline

      2018 US SenateIndiana
      1,023,553
      Candidate Votes
      44.8%
      Vote %
      2,282,565
      Total Votes
      -5.9%
      Margin
      Electoral Performance
      +8.6
      Race Score
      +11.6
      vs. Natl. Baseline
      D-17.5
      State Pres.
      Incumbent (−3pt bar)
      Top opponent: Mike BraunREP
      ← All candidates