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Kirsten E Gillibrand

a strong senate candidate from New York who won 4 consecutive elections, consistently outperforming expectations

Democratic
US SenateUS House
Electoral Grade
B
+27.4 pts
avg overperformance
Better than 57% of candidates4 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts.

7
Races
5-2
W-L (71%)
+39.9
Avg Margin
2006–2024
Career Span
Best: +45.9 (2012 Senate)Worst: 34.0 (2018 Senate)
71%
Win Rate
+5.7
Avg Overperformance
4
Win Streak
18 yrs
Career Span
8.9M
Career Votes
Top 43%
Percentile

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend2 races

R+40R+20EvenD+20D+402012: D+45.9 - Click to view2018: D+34.0 - Click to view20122018

Career Timeline

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Candidate Votes
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Vote %
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Total Votes
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Margin
Electoral Performance
+4.1
Race Score
+7.1
vs. State Pres.
D+11.2
State Pres.
Incumbent (−3pt bar)
Top opponent: Mike SapraiconeREP

Key Insights

3 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

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Geographic Performance

7 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

7 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Similar Candidates

8 matches found

Candidates with the closest career profiles — same era, similar performance.

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Curious about Kirsten E Gillibrand's performance?

Ask the Historian

Interactive AI-powered chat about Kirsten E Gillibrand's career, opponents, and performance.

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