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Madeline Kunin

a strong governor candidate from Vermont with a 3-1 career record, consistently outperforming expectations

Democratic
Governor
Electoral Grade
B+
+49.0 pts
avg overperformance
Better than 71% of candidates4 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts.

4
Races
3-1
W-L (75%)
+2.8
Avg Margin
1982–1988
Career Span
Best: +12.0 (1988 Governor)Worst: -11.1 (1982 Governor)
75%
Win Rate
+9.3
Avg Overperformance
3
Win Streak
6 yrs
Career Span
418K
Career Votes
Top 29%
Percentile

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend4 races

R+10EvenD+101982: R+11.1 - Click to view1984: D+1.6 - Click to view1986: D+8.8 - Click to view1988: D+12.0 - Click to view1982198419861988

Career Timeline

134,438
Candidate Votes
55.4%
Vote %
242,879
Total Votes
+12.0%
Margin
Electoral Performance
+3.0
Race Score
+6.0
vs. State Pres.
D+6.1
State Pres.
Incumbent (−3pt bar)
Top opponent: Michael BernhardtREP

Key Insights

3 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

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Geographic Performance

4 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

4 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Similar Candidates

8 matches found

Candidates with the closest career profiles — same era, similar performance.

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Curious about Madeline Kunin's performance?

Ask the Historian

Interactive AI-powered chat about Madeline Kunin's career, opponents, and performance.

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