Luke Messer

Republican

Undefeated: 4-0 career record

US HouseState House
Electoral Grade
B+
+22.6 pts
avg overperformance
Better than 76% of candidates3 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts, House −2 pts.

4
Races
4-0
W-L (100%)
-50.7
Avg Margin
2004–2016
Career Span
Best: +-23.9 (2012 House)Worst: -100.0 (2004 State House)

Career Margin Trend4 races

R+60R+30EvenD+30D+602004201220142016

Career Timeline

204,920
Candidate Votes
69.1%
Vote %
296,385
Total Votes
-42.4%
Margin
Electoral Performance
+25.5
Race Score
+23.5
vs. Natl. Baseline
D-18.9
State Pres.
Incumbent (−2pt bar)
Top opponent: Barry A WelshDEM