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Philip Murphy

5 races across Governor, State Senate, House in New Jersey, 3W-2L

Democratic
GovernorState SenateUS House
Electoral Grade
—
Requires 3+ graded races
5
Races
3-2
W-L (60%)
+2.4
Avg Margin
1998–2021
Career Span
Best: +14.1 (2017 Governor)Worst: -15.6 (2016 State Senate)
60%
Win Rate
-13.8
Avg Overperformance
2
Win Streak
23 yrs
Career Span
2.5M
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend4 races

State Senate
Governor
Even2012: D+7.7 - Click to view2016: R+15.6 - Click to view2017: D+14.1 - Click to view2021: D+3.2 - Click to view2012201620172021

Career Timeline

2021 GovernorNew Jersey
1,339,471
Candidate Votes
51.2%
Vote %
2,616,384
Total Votes
+3.2%
Margin
Electoral Performance
-14.4
Race Score
-11.4
vs. State Pres.
D+14.6
State Pres.
Incumbent (−3pt bar)
Top opponent: Jack M CiattarelliREP

Key Insights

2 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

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Geographic Performance

5 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

5 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Opponents Faced5 opponents

Jack M CiattarelliREP
1-02021 Governor(+3.2)
Kim GuadagnoREP
1-02017 Governor(+14.1)
Arne OslandREP
0-12016 State Senate(-15.6)
Melvin ErdmannREP
1-02012 State Senate(+7.7)
Jim KolbeREP
0-11998 House
Historian Query

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