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Brian Schweitzer

an elite candidate who ran for governor and senate in Montana, 2W-1L, consistently outperforming expectations

Democratic
GovernorUS Senate
Electoral Grade
A-
+79.0 pts
avg overperformance
Better than 84% of candidates3 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts.

3
Races
2-1
W-L (67%)
+11.3
Avg Margin
2000–2008
Career Span
Best: +33.0 (2008 Governor)Worst: -3.3 (2000 Senate)
67%
Win Rate
+16.4
Avg Overperformance
2
Win Streak
8 yrs
Career Span
738K
Career Votes
Top 16%
Percentile

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend3 races

Senate
Governor
R+20EvenD+202000: R+3.3 - Click to view2004: D+4.4 - Click to view2008: D+33.0 - Click to view200020042008

Career Timeline

318,670
Candidate Votes
65.5%
Vote %
486,734
Total Votes
+33.0%
Margin
Electoral Performance
+24.4
Race Score
+27.4
vs. State Pres.
D+5.6
State Pres.
Incumbent (−3pt bar)
Top opponent: Roy BrownREP

Key Insights

1 insights generated

Deterministic highlights from career record, margins, and standout performances.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

Geographic Performance

3 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

3 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Similar Candidates

8 matches found

Candidates with the closest career profiles — same era, similar performance.

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Curious about Brian Schweitzer's performance?

Ask the Historian

Interactive AI-powered chat about Brian Schweitzer's career, opponents, and performance.

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