Competitive — shifted 12.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 26.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 54.5% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 4.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 11.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.2% | 51.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.3% | 28.7% |
| Other | 5.5% | 12.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.0% | 4.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.0% | 2.4% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 2.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.9% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 57.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+4.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+7.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+6.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+2.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+10.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+1.5 |
1996: Perot 5.3% · 1992: Perot 16.6%