Safe Republican — shifted 15.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 40.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 32.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 1.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 17.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.9% | 46.0% |
| Catholic | 10.8% | 29.5% |
| Other | 7.4% | 20.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.1% | 11.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.4% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 63.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+31.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+16.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+15.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+19.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+16.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+35.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+33.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+23.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+19.6 |
1996: Perot 6.2% · 1992: Perot 18.9%