
Safe Republican — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 68.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 7.6% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 16.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.3% | 59.0% |
| Black Protestant | 6.2% | 18.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 12.4% |
| Catholic | 2.1% | 6.2% |
| Other | 1.5% | 4.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.8% |
| Non-religious | 65.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+35.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+30.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+33.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+27.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+23.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+6.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.5 |