Bear Lake County, Idaho: Rural GOP Stronghold

Idaho Β· Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+77.0
2024 Margin
D+0.3%
2020β†’2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 Rural GOP
Classification
6K
Population

Bear Lake County, Idaho voted R+77.0 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,908 votes (87.46%). This represented a D+0.3% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.

Electoral Behavior

🌾
Rural GOP StrongholdView all

Small, deeply conservative counties that have been consistently 75%+ Republican. Stable heartland communities concentrated in TX, OK, KS, NE and the Great Plains.

Volatility
11.6
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.7/yr (red)

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+77.0
2020β†’2024 SwingD+0.3%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population6,372
Median Age
40.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
26.7%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$63,244(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.1%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
3.7%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
85.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.2%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.2%(US: 6.4%)

Presidential Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202410.4%(346)87.5%(2,908)R+77.0+0.3
202010.6%(350)87.9%(2,914)R+77.3-10.8
20168.7%(255)75.2%(2,203)R+66.5+11.0
201210.7%(302)88.2%(2,489)R+77.5-13.8
200817.1%(502)80.8%(2,377)R+63.7+2.5
200416.3%(494)82.4%(2,506)R+66.2-4.8
200017.8%(517)79.2%(2,296)R+61.4-33.7
199628.7%(805)56.4%(1,583)R+27.7+2.3
199219.7%(562)49.7%(1,419)R+30.0+10.8
198829.1%(867)69.9%(2,084)R+40.8+28.9

Senate Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20228.7%(196)83.4%(1,871)R+74.6-0.8
202010.8%(355)84.5%(2,791)R+73.8-0.9
201610.0%(291)82.9%(2,415)R+72.9-3.5
201415.3%(289)84.7%(1,599)R+69.4-4.1
201015.0%(331)80.3%(1,771)R+65.3-8.7
200818.1%(525)74.7%(2,162)R+56.6+43.2
20040.0%(0)99.8%(2,706)R+99.8-42.7
200220.7%(499)77.8%(1,877)R+57.1-1.4
199820.6%(422)76.4%(1,563)R+55.8-17.6
199629.2%(798)67.3%(1,843)R+38.2+1.5

Governor Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20226.2%(280)62.3%(2,824)R+56.1+12.4
201814.3%(307)82.8%(1,780)R+68.5-12.4
201416.8%(317)72.8%(1,378)R+56.1-15.9
201026.7%(592)66.9%(1,484)R+40.2-0.4
200628.0%(621)67.8%(1,505)R+39.8-1.7
200230.2%(734)68.3%(1,663)R+38.2+11.1
199823.5%(484)72.8%(1,497)R+49.3-34.3
199441.8%(1,039)56.8%(1,412)R+15.0-20.5
199052.8%(1,152)47.2%(1,031)D+5.5+32.5
198636.3%(990)63.2%(1,726)R+26.9+2.4

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