Teton County, Idaho: Professional Migration
Idaho Β· Presidential Elections 1916β2024
D+6.8
2024 Margin
R+0.4%
2020β2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
12K
Population
Teton County, Idaho voted D+6.8 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 3,463 votes (51.7%). This represented a R+0.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
6.0
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.7/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+6.8
2020β2024 SwingR+0.4%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record28
Demographics
Population11,630
Median Age
38.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
62.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$88,906(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
79.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
17.1%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
79.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
3.7%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.7%(3,463) | 44.9%(3,005) | D+6.8 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 52.3%(3,318) | 45.0%(2,858) | D+7.3 | +7.4 |
| 2016 | 43.4%(2,159) | 43.6%(2,167) | R+0.2 | +11.6 |
| 2012 | 42.6%(1,926) | 54.3%(2,458) | R+11.8 | -12.6 |
| 2008 | 49.4%(2,302) | 48.6%(2,263) | D+0.8 | +23.0 |
| 2004 | 38.4%(1,416) | 60.6%(2,235) | R+22.2 | +16.2 |
| 2000 | 27.0%(720) | 65.3%(1,745) | R+38.4 | -22.9 |
| 1996 | 34.8%(866) | 50.3%(1,251) | R+15.5 | -0.4 |
| 1992 | 24.6%(472) | 39.7%(762) | R+15.1 | +14.4 |
| 1988 | 34.8%(531) | 64.3%(982) | R+29.5 | +24.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 50.7%(2,375) | 44.8%(2,100) | D+5.9 | -0.7 |
| 2020 | 51.5%(3,251) | 45.0%(2,837) | D+6.6 | +16.6 |
| 2016 | 43.3%(2,156) | 53.3%(2,659) | R+10.1 | -8.0 |
| 2014 | 49.0%(1,909) | 51.0%(1,991) | R+2.1 | +3.9 |
| 2010 | 46.2%(1,564) | 52.2%(1,766) | R+6.0 | -11.7 |
| 2008 | 45.8%(2,072) | 40.1%(1,812) | D+5.8 | +105.5 |
| 2004 | 0.0%(0) | 99.8%(2,777) | R+99.8 | -73.2 |
| 2002 | 35.4%(813) | 62.0%(1,425) | R+26.6 | +15.5 |
| 1998 | 27.7%(493) | 69.8%(1,242) | R+42.1 | -24.8 |
| 1996 | 38.9%(958) | 56.2%(1,384) | R+17.3 | -21.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 42.4%(3,978) | 46.2%(4,338) | R+3.8 | -15.9 |
| 2018 | 54.9%(2,636) | 42.8%(2,055) | D+12.1 | +4.5 |
| 2014 | 50.2%(1,977) | 42.6%(1,678) | D+7.6 | +0.6 |
| 2010 | 50.4%(1,706) | 43.4%(1,470) | D+7.0 | -5.1 |
| 2006 | 54.5%(1,653) | 42.4%(1,286) | D+12.1 | +20.8 |
| 2002 | 44.8%(1,043) | 53.5%(1,245) | R+8.7 | +27.7 |
| 1998 | 30.0%(535) | 66.4%(1,183) | R+36.4 | -46.3 |
| 1994 | 53.8%(970) | 43.9%(791) | D+9.9 | +3.8 |
| 1990 | 53.1%(659) | 46.9%(583) | D+6.1 | +32.0 |
| 1986 | 36.7%(538) | 62.6%(918) | R+25.9 | -13.1 |