Teton County, Idaho: Professional Migration

Idaho Β· Presidential Elections 1916–2024

D+6.8
2024 Margin
R+0.4%
2020β†’2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
12K
Population

Teton County, Idaho voted D+6.8 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 3,463 votes (51.7%). This represented a R+0.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020.

Electoral Behavior

🏘️
Professional MigrationView all

Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.

Volatility
6.0
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
+0.7/yr

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+6.8
2020β†’2024 SwingR+0.4%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record28

Demographics

Population11,630
Median Age
38.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
62.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$88,906(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
79.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
17.1%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
79.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.4%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
3.7%(US: 6.4%)

Presidential Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202451.7%(3,463)44.9%(3,005)D+6.8-0.4
202052.3%(3,318)45.0%(2,858)D+7.3+7.4
201643.4%(2,159)43.6%(2,167)R+0.2+11.6
201242.6%(1,926)54.3%(2,458)R+11.8-12.6
200849.4%(2,302)48.6%(2,263)D+0.8+23.0
200438.4%(1,416)60.6%(2,235)R+22.2+16.2
200027.0%(720)65.3%(1,745)R+38.4-22.9
199634.8%(866)50.3%(1,251)R+15.5-0.4
199224.6%(472)39.7%(762)R+15.1+14.4
198834.8%(531)64.3%(982)R+29.5+24.1

Senate Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202250.7%(2,375)44.8%(2,100)D+5.9-0.7
202051.5%(3,251)45.0%(2,837)D+6.6+16.6
201643.3%(2,156)53.3%(2,659)R+10.1-8.0
201449.0%(1,909)51.0%(1,991)R+2.1+3.9
201046.2%(1,564)52.2%(1,766)R+6.0-11.7
200845.8%(2,072)40.1%(1,812)D+5.8+105.5
20040.0%(0)99.8%(2,777)R+99.8-73.2
200235.4%(813)62.0%(1,425)R+26.6+15.5
199827.7%(493)69.8%(1,242)R+42.1-24.8
199638.9%(958)56.2%(1,384)R+17.3-21.9

Governor Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202242.4%(3,978)46.2%(4,338)R+3.8-15.9
201854.9%(2,636)42.8%(2,055)D+12.1+4.5
201450.2%(1,977)42.6%(1,678)D+7.6+0.6
201050.4%(1,706)43.4%(1,470)D+7.0-5.1
200654.5%(1,653)42.4%(1,286)D+12.1+20.8
200244.8%(1,043)53.5%(1,245)R+8.7+27.7
199830.0%(535)66.4%(1,183)R+36.4-46.3
199453.8%(970)43.9%(791)D+9.9+3.8
199053.1%(659)46.9%(583)D+6.1+32.0
198636.7%(538)62.6%(918)R+25.9-13.1

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