McLean County, Illinois: True Battleground
Illinois · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+4.9
2024 Margin
D+0.9%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
171K
Population
McLean County, Illinois voted D+4.9 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 44,495 votes (51.43%). This represented a D+0.9% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020.
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+4.9
2020→2024 SwingD+0.9%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population170,954
Median Age
34.0(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
46.9%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$75,356(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
77.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
6.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
8.8%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
5.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
65.2%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
5.8%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.1%(US: 17.1%)
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020EvangelicalStrongly R
22.4%(+5.9 vs US)
Mainline ProtestantSuburban swing
9.4%(+4.2 vs US)
CatholicSwing vote
5.6%(-13.1 vs US)
Black ProtestantStrongly D
1.5%(-0.7 vs US)
LDS/MormonHistorically R
0.8%(-1.2 vs US)
Age Distribution
Median:34.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18Future voters
21.5%
18-29Lean D, low turnout
16.7%↑
30-44Swing voters
18.9%
45-64Lean R, high turnout
28.8%↑
65+Lean R, highest turnout
14.2%↓
National average
Employment by Industry
Source: Census ACSRetail Trade
10.5%Professional ServicesBelow avg
9.6%Education
9.1%ManufacturingBelow avg
7.4%HealthcareVery low
4.3%ConstructionBelow avg
3.9%Political relevance:
Healthcare: ACA debates
+ 1 more industries
Presidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.4%(44,495) | 46.6%(40,290) | D+4.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2020 | 50.3%(43,933) | 46.4%(40,502) | D+3.9 | D+5.2 |
| 2016 | 44.5%(36,196) | 45.8%(37,237) | R+1.3 | D+9.7 |
| 2012 | 43.4%(31,883) | 54.4%(39,947) | R+11.0 | R+12.2 |
| 2008 | 49.8%(37,689) | 48.5%(36,767) | D+1.2 | D+17.1 |
| 2004 | 41.7%(29,877) | 57.6%(41,276) | R+15.9 | R+1.0 |
| 2000 | 41.0%(24,936) | 55.8%(34,008) | R+14.9 | R+7.9 |
| 1996 | 42.5%(22,708) | 49.5%(26,428) | R+7.0 | R+2.5 |
| 1992 | 39.0%(23,090) | 43.4%(25,726) | R+4.5 | D+19.6 |
| 1988 | 37.7%(18,659) | 61.8%(30,572) | R+24.1 | D+9.7 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 50.2%(32,515) | 48.4%(31,353) | D+1.8 | D+1.2 |
| 2020 | 48.0%(41,549) | 47.4%(41,007) | D+0.6 | D+11.1 |
| 2016 | 41.4%(33,204) | 51.9%(41,579) | R+10.4 | D+11.2 |
| 2014 | 37.6%(18,967) | 59.2%(29,885) | R+21.6 | D+12.0 |
| 2010 | 29.7%(15,448) | 63.3%(32,958) | R+33.6 | R+49.4 |
| 2008 | 55.8%(41,250) | 40.0%(29,611) | D+15.7 | R+10.0 |
| 2004 | 61.6%(43,027) | 35.9%(25,040) | D+25.8 | D+21.3 |
| 2002 | 51.4%(21,568) | 47.0%(19,701) | D+4.5 | D+38.2 |
| 1998 | 32.1%(12,425) | 65.8%(25,474) | R+33.7 | R+24.5 |
| 1996 | 44.0%(23,247) | 53.2%(28,115) | R+9.2 | R+4.0 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 48.9%(31,930) | 47.6%(31,125) | D+1.2 | D+5.9 |
| 2018 | 43.6%(29,364) | 48.3%(32,501) | R+4.7 | D+25.1 |
| 2014 | 32.9%(16,600) | 62.7%(31,646) | R+29.8 | D+3.2 |
| 2010 | 30.1%(15,723) | 63.1%(32,972) | R+33.0 | R+8.4 |
| 2006 | 30.0%(12,895) | 54.6%(23,471) | R+24.6 | R+6.1 |
| 2002 | 39.4%(16,480) | 57.9%(24,233) | R+18.5 | D+3.6 |
| 1998 | 38.3%(14,811) | 60.4%(23,351) | R+22.1 | D+35.3 |
| 1994 | 20.4%(7,144) | 77.9%(27,216) | R+57.4 | R+25.0 |
| 1990 | 33.2%(11,302) | 65.7%(22,355) | R+32.5 | D+30.1 |
| 1986 | 2.1%(643) | 64.7%(19,698) | R+62.6 | R+36.0 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
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