Jay County, Indiana: Northern Rural Secular
Indiana · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+55.1
2024 Margin
R+2.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
20K
Population
Jay County, Indiana voted R+55.1 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 6,217 votes (76.61%). This represented a R+2.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.9
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.8/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+55.1
2020→2024 SwingR+2.7%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population20,478
Median Age
39.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
17.8%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$52,231(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.5%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
78.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
13.2%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.1%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.5%(1,747) | 76.6%(6,217) | R+55.1 | -2.7 |
| 2020 | 22.8%(1,926) | 75.2%(6,361) | R+52.4 | -5.0 |
| 2016 | 23.6%(1,889) | 71.0%(5,697) | R+47.5 | -27.4 |
| 2012 | 38.8%(3,063) | 58.8%(4,645) | R+20.0 | -12.2 |
| 2008 | 45.1%(3,748) | 52.9%(4,401) | R+7.8 | +24.8 |
| 2004 | 33.3%(2,740) | 65.9%(5,427) | R+32.6 | -13.7 |
| 2000 | 39.4%(3,167) | 58.4%(4,687) | R+18.9 | -16.1 |
| 1996 | 41.9%(3,356) | 44.7%(3,584) | R+2.8 | +1.7 |
| 1992 | 36.3%(3,208) | 40.8%(3,609) | R+4.5 | +20.4 |
| 1988 | 37.3%(3,212) | 62.2%(5,363) | R+24.9 | +5.5 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.5%(1,594) | 76.8%(5,976) | R+56.3 | -2.7 |
| 2022 | 21.9%(1,182) | 75.5%(4,084) | R+53.6 | -20.9 |
| 2018 | 30.7%(1,933) | 63.4%(3,990) | R+32.7 | -9.7 |
| 2016 | 34.7%(2,721) | 57.7%(4,529) | R+23.0 | -19.8 |
| 2012 | 44.7%(3,295) | 48.0%(3,533) | R+3.2 | +21.8 |
| 2010 | 34.4%(1,986) | 59.5%(3,432) | R+25.1 | +60.9 |
| 2006 | 0.0%(0) | 85.9%(4,850) | R+85.9 | -114.1 |
| 2004 | 63.5%(5,117) | 35.3%(2,845) | D+28.2 | +67.2 |
| 2000 | 29.6%(2,349) | 68.6%(5,442) | R+39.0 | -69.0 |
| 1998 | 64.3%(4,202) | 34.3%(2,240) | D+30.0 | +69.9 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.1%(1,943) | 67.8%(5,262) | R+42.8 | +4.7 |
| 2020 | 14.8%(1,240) | 62.2%(5,227) | R+47.4 | -26.1 |
| 2016 | 37.6%(2,935) | 58.9%(4,603) | R+21.4 | -6.8 |
| 2012 | 40.5%(3,183) | 55.1%(4,326) | R+14.6 | +1.7 |
| 2008 | 40.8%(3,404) | 57.1%(4,763) | R+16.3 | -2.9 |
| 2004 | 42.8%(3,453) | 56.2%(4,537) | R+13.4 | -24.9 |
| 2000 | 54.9%(4,391) | 43.4%(3,473) | D+11.5 | -4.1 |
| 1996 | 56.8%(5,115) | 41.2%(3,711) | D+15.6 | -10.5 |
| 1992 | 62.2%(5,413) | 36.2%(3,147) | D+26.1 | +17.3 |
| 1988 | 54.4%(4,701) | 45.6%(3,948) | D+8.7 | +17.8 |