Lake County, Indiana: Declining Industrial Metro
Indiana · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+5.6
2024 Margin
R+9.4%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1976
Voting Streak
🏭 Rust Belt
Classification
499K
Population
Lake County, Indiana voted D+5.6 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 109,086 votes (51.92%). This represented a R+9.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976.
Electoral Behavior
🏭
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
3.0
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-0.6/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+5.6
2020→2024 SwingR+9.4%
Voting StreakD since 1976
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population498,700
Median Age
39.3(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
33.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$66,375(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
52.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
20.5%(US: 18.6%)
Black
24.9%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
70.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
14.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.9%(109,086) | 46.3%(97,270) | D+5.6 | -9.4 |
| 2020 | 56.8%(124,870) | 41.7%(91,760) | D+15.1 | -5.3 |
| 2016 | 57.7%(116,896) | 37.3%(75,565) | D+20.4 | -10.5 |
| 2012 | 64.8%(130,897) | 33.9%(68,431) | D+30.9 | -3.4 |
| 2008 | 66.7%(139,301) | 32.5%(67,742) | D+34.3 | +11.5 |
| 2004 | 61.0%(114,743) | 38.2%(71,903) | D+22.8 | -3.2 |
| 2000 | 62.0%(109,078) | 36.0%(63,389) | D+26.0 | -6.0 |
| 1996 | 61.1%(100,198) | 29.2%(47,873) | D+31.9 | +5.7 |
| 1992 | 55.2%(102,778) | 28.9%(53,867) | D+26.3 | +12.7 |
| 1988 | 56.5%(105,026) | 43.0%(79,929) | D+13.5 | +2.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.4%(105,648) | 44.7%(88,474) | D+8.7 | -3.6 |
| 2022 | 55.3%(73,866) | 43.0%(57,426) | D+12.3 | -18.4 |
| 2018 | 64.3%(104,390) | 33.6%(54,564) | D+30.7 | +3.1 |
| 2016 | 61.9%(122,036) | 34.3%(67,657) | D+27.6 | -13.3 |
| 2012 | 69.3%(126,736) | 28.5%(52,072) | D+40.8 | +21.7 |
| 2010 | 58.4%(65,767) | 39.3%(44,232) | D+19.1 | +100.9 |
| 2006 | 0.0%(0) | 81.8%(47,868) | R+81.8 | -125.9 |
| 2004 | 71.4%(130,450) | 27.3%(49,919) | D+44.1 | +28.8 |
| 2000 | 57.0%(97,809) | 41.7%(71,574) | D+15.3 | -41.8 |
| 1998 | 78.0%(80,073) | 20.9%(21,429) | D+57.1 | +50.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.8%(107,417) | 44.2%(88,280) | D+9.6 | +1.5 |
| 2020 | 51.7%(112,352) | 43.7%(94,841) | D+8.1 | -23.6 |
| 2016 | 64.7%(127,491) | 33.0%(64,997) | D+31.7 | -4.9 |
| 2012 | 67.3%(122,324) | 30.7%(55,776) | D+36.6 | +7.3 |
| 2008 | 63.9%(122,111) | 34.6%(66,145) | D+29.3 | -1.8 |
| 2004 | 64.8%(118,697) | 33.7%(61,720) | D+31.1 | -12.4 |
| 2000 | 71.3%(122,784) | 27.8%(47,859) | D+43.5 | +8.3 |
| 1996 | 67.0%(107,224) | 31.8%(50,846) | D+35.2 | -3.4 |
| 1992 | 68.7%(122,861) | 30.0%(53,720) | D+38.6 | +2.8 |
| 1988 | 67.9%(120,487) | 32.1%(56,900) | D+35.9 | +15.1 |