
Safe Republican — shifted 6.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 35.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 59.1% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 3.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.0% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 32.0% | 54.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 19.6% | 33.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.4% | 7.4% |
| Other | 2.3% | 3.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 40.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+38.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+32.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+38.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+35.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+30.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+48.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+39.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+32.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+16.5 |
1996: Perot 9.9% · 1992: Perot 32.3%