
Safe Democratic — shifted 7.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 36.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 34.1% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 18.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Black Protestant | 15.1% | 30.3% |
| Catholic | 15.1% | 30.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.1% | 28.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.2% | 6.4% |
| Other | 2.0% | 4.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 50.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+23.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+30.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+29.1 |
| 2012 | Obama+37.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+40.7 |
| 2004 | Kerry+31.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+38.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+34.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+35.2 |
1996: Perot 7.9% · 1992: Perot 22.3%