
Competitive — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 75.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 5.8% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 14.0% |
▶Asian(3) | 1.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 17.7% | 45.5% |
| Catholic | 12.9% | 33.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.3% | 13.5% |
| Black Protestant | 2.5% | 6.4% |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 61.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+2.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+1.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+3.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+0.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.0 |
1996: Perot 9.7% · 1992: Perot 18.5%