Bates County, Missouri: Northern Rural Secular
Missouri · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+61.5
2024 Margin
R+3.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
16K
Population
Bates County, Missouri voted R+61.5 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 6,702 votes (80.17%). This represented a R+3.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.9
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-2.4/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+61.5
2020→2024 SwingR+3.1%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population16,042
Median Age
40.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
21.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$54,122(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.4%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
72.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
18.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.8%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.7%(1,563) | 80.2%(6,702) | R+61.5 | -3.1 |
| 2020 | 19.8%(1,672) | 78.2%(6,597) | R+58.4 | -4.1 |
| 2016 | 20.0%(1,618) | 74.2%(6,001) | R+54.2 | -22.5 |
| 2012 | 32.9%(2,557) | 64.6%(5,020) | R+31.7 | -12.8 |
| 2008 | 39.5%(3,271) | 58.4%(4,833) | R+18.9 | +0.1 |
| 2004 | 40.1%(3,398) | 59.1%(5,004) | R+19.0 | -7.9 |
| 2000 | 43.5%(3,386) | 54.5%(4,245) | R+11.0 | -15.5 |
| 1996 | 45.2%(3,224) | 40.7%(2,904) | D+4.5 | -1.9 |
| 1992 | 38.7%(2,993) | 32.3%(2,499) | D+6.4 | +9.9 |
| 1988 | 48.1%(3,332) | 51.6%(3,574) | R+3.5 | +15.3 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.4%(1,924) | 74.2%(6,100) | R+50.8 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 24.4%(1,362) | 75.6%(4,222) | R+51.2 | -12.9 |
| 2018 | 28.5%(1,906) | 66.8%(4,467) | R+38.3 | -16.2 |
| 2016 | 35.9%(2,866) | 58.1%(4,630) | R+22.1 | -26.9 |
| 2012 | 48.3%(3,716) | 43.5%(3,345) | D+4.8 | +31.2 |
| 2010 | 33.5%(1,954) | 59.9%(3,495) | R+26.4 | -25.7 |
| 2006 | 47.3%(3,326) | 48.0%(3,374) | R+0.7 | +21.8 |
| 2004 | 38.2%(3,214) | 60.7%(5,108) | R+22.5 | -24.2 |
| 2002 | 49.9%(3,287) | 48.2%(3,175) | D+1.7 | +2.5 |
| 2000 | 49.2%(3,837) | 50.0%(3,900) | R+0.8 | +11.3 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.7%(1,604) | 78.5%(6,402) | R+58.8 | -3.2 |
| 2020 | 21.1%(1,762) | 76.7%(6,410) | R+55.6 | -33.3 |
| 2016 | 37.4%(2,989) | 59.6%(4,772) | R+22.3 | -28.2 |
| 2012 | 51.4%(3,972) | 45.5%(3,513) | D+5.9 | -7.7 |
| 2008 | 55.4%(4,555) | 41.8%(3,431) | D+13.7 | +21.8 |
| 2004 | 45.1%(3,795) | 53.2%(4,479) | R+8.1 | -8.3 |
| 2000 | 49.0%(3,794) | 48.9%(3,783) | D+0.1 | -28.5 |
| 1996 | 63.3%(4,531) | 34.7%(2,483) | D+28.6 | +12.7 |
| 1992 | 57.9%(4,414) | 42.1%(3,204) | D+15.9 | +39.3 |
| 1988 | 38.2%(2,637) | 61.6%(4,256) | R+23.4 | -12.5 |