Carroll County, Missouri: Northern Rural Secular
Missouri · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+64.4
2024 Margin
D+0.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
8K
Population
Carroll County, Missouri voted R+64.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 3,708 votes (81.76%). This represented a D+0.1% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
13.0
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-2.6/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+64.4
2020→2024 SwingD+0.1%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population8,495
Median Age
43.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
28.1%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$59,101(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.1%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.1%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
72.6%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.5%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.4%(789) | 81.8%(3,708) | R+64.4 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 17.3%(786) | 81.8%(3,706) | R+64.4 | -1.7 |
| 2016 | 17.1%(745) | 79.8%(3,480) | R+62.7 | -18.1 |
| 2012 | 26.8%(1,154) | 71.4%(3,072) | R+44.6 | -13.3 |
| 2008 | 33.8%(1,535) | 65.1%(2,955) | R+31.3 | +2.2 |
| 2004 | 33.1%(1,568) | 66.5%(3,155) | R+33.5 | -6.0 |
| 2000 | 35.4%(1,620) | 62.9%(2,880) | R+27.5 | -32.8 |
| 1996 | 46.1%(2,080) | 40.7%(1,839) | D+5.3 | -0.7 |
| 1992 | 39.0%(2,100) | 33.0%(1,774) | D+6.1 | +15.4 |
| 1988 | 45.3%(2,330) | 54.6%(2,811) | R+9.3 | +18.3 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.4%(955) | 76.1%(3,395) | R+54.7 | +3.7 |
| 2022 | 20.8%(685) | 79.2%(2,607) | R+58.4 | -7.9 |
| 2018 | 23.2%(870) | 73.7%(2,761) | R+50.5 | -14.0 |
| 2016 | 29.7%(1,290) | 66.2%(2,875) | R+36.5 | -36.0 |
| 2012 | 45.3%(1,906) | 45.8%(1,926) | R+0.5 | +43.0 |
| 2010 | 25.8%(818) | 69.3%(2,199) | R+43.5 | -28.7 |
| 2006 | 40.9%(1,469) | 55.7%(2,001) | R+14.8 | +27.9 |
| 2004 | 28.3%(1,331) | 71.0%(3,337) | R+42.7 | -33.1 |
| 2002 | 44.5%(1,597) | 54.0%(1,941) | R+9.6 | +0.7 |
| 2000 | 44.4%(2,052) | 54.7%(2,526) | R+10.3 | +14.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.9%(754) | 81.3%(3,623) | R+64.4 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 17.1%(770) | 81.6%(3,671) | R+64.5 | -31.2 |
| 2016 | 32.0%(1,392) | 65.3%(2,837) | R+33.3 | -25.0 |
| 2012 | 44.6%(1,902) | 52.9%(2,256) | R+8.3 | -7.6 |
| 2008 | 48.8%(2,201) | 49.5%(2,233) | R+0.7 | +20.5 |
| 2004 | 38.9%(1,830) | 60.1%(2,828) | R+21.2 | -4.4 |
| 2000 | 40.9%(1,872) | 57.7%(2,643) | R+16.8 | -42.9 |
| 1996 | 62.3%(2,794) | 36.2%(1,625) | D+26.1 | +21.1 |
| 1992 | 52.5%(2,749) | 47.5%(2,489) | D+5.0 | +41.6 |
| 1988 | 31.6%(1,623) | 68.3%(3,508) | R+36.7 | -7.7 |