Clay County, Missouri: Professional Migration
Missouri · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+5.6
2024 Margin
R+1.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
253K
Population
Clay County, Missouri voted R+5.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 67,688 votes (51.75%). This represented a R+1.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
2.3
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-0.5/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+5.6
2020→2024 SwingR+1.5%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population253,335
Median Age
37.5(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
48.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$82,264(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
77.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
7.7%(US: 18.6%)
Black
7.2%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
68.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.4%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.1%(60,345) | 51.8%(67,688) | R+5.6 | -1.5 |
| 2020 | 46.9%(59,400) | 51.0%(64,605) | R+4.1 | +6.8 |
| 2016 | 40.8%(45,304) | 51.7%(57,476) | R+10.9 | -2.6 |
| 2012 | 44.6%(47,310) | 53.0%(56,191) | R+8.4 | -7.7 |
| 2008 | 49.0%(53,761) | 49.7%(54,516) | R+0.7 | +6.1 |
| 2004 | 46.3%(44,670) | 53.1%(51,193) | R+6.8 | -6.8 |
| 2000 | 48.8%(39,084) | 48.8%(39,083) | Even | -5.3 |
| 1996 | 47.1%(32,603) | 41.9%(28,935) | D+5.3 | -3.6 |
| 1992 | 40.3%(30,565) | 31.4%(23,798) | D+8.9 | +10.1 |
| 1988 | 49.1%(29,620) | 50.3%(30,293) | R+1.1 | +22.5 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.3%(62,452) | 49.0%(63,337) | R+0.7 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 49.3%(41,866) | 50.7%(43,070) | R+1.4 | -3.6 |
| 2018 | 49.5%(48,096) | 47.3%(45,947) | D+2.2 | -3.4 |
| 2016 | 50.3%(55,322) | 44.7%(49,173) | D+5.6 | -13.3 |
| 2012 | 55.3%(57,654) | 36.4%(37,967) | D+18.9 | +32.9 |
| 2010 | 40.3%(28,161) | 54.3%(37,966) | R+14.0 | -22.8 |
| 2006 | 52.8%(39,630) | 44.0%(33,014) | D+8.8 | +23.0 |
| 2004 | 42.3%(40,357) | 56.5%(53,892) | R+14.2 | -19.6 |
| 2002 | 51.9%(30,684) | 46.5%(27,497) | D+5.4 | +0.1 |
| 2000 | 52.1%(41,599) | 46.8%(37,376) | D+5.3 | +17.2 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45.3%(58,365) | 52.6%(67,765) | R+7.3 | -2.2 |
| 2020 | 46.3%(58,224) | 51.4%(64,682) | R+5.1 | -3.8 |
| 2016 | 47.6%(52,429) | 49.0%(53,883) | R+1.3 | -15.3 |
| 2012 | 55.5%(57,962) | 41.5%(43,398) | D+13.9 | -6.4 |
| 2008 | 59.0%(63,341) | 38.6%(41,518) | D+20.3 | +15.3 |
| 2004 | 51.7%(49,573) | 46.7%(44,763) | D+5.0 | +0.3 |
| 2000 | 51.3%(40,747) | 46.6%(36,983) | D+4.7 | -24.5 |
| 1996 | 63.5%(43,593) | 34.3%(23,524) | D+29.3 | +10.3 |
| 1992 | 59.5%(43,055) | 40.5%(29,360) | D+18.9 | +50.5 |
| 1988 | 33.8%(19,976) | 65.4%(38,655) | R+31.6 | -12.1 |