Shelby County, Missouri: Northern Rural Secular
Missouri · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+65.6
2024 Margin
R+2.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
6K
Population
Shelby County, Missouri voted R+65.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,691 votes (82.5%). This represented a R+2.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
13.2
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-2.6/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+65.6
2020→2024 SwingR+2.7%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population6,103
Median Age
42.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
23.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$50,387(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
94.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.2%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
75.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
15.6%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.1%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.9%(550) | 82.5%(2,691) | R+65.6 | -2.7 |
| 2020 | 17.7%(592) | 80.6%(2,700) | R+62.9 | -4.4 |
| 2016 | 18.5%(606) | 77.1%(2,524) | R+58.6 | -20.8 |
| 2012 | 29.9%(966) | 67.7%(2,188) | R+37.8 | -6.1 |
| 2008 | 33.6%(1,114) | 65.3%(2,166) | R+31.7 | -0.9 |
| 2004 | 34.3%(1,201) | 65.1%(2,280) | R+30.8 | -10.1 |
| 2000 | 38.8%(1,262) | 59.4%(1,936) | R+20.7 | -27.1 |
| 1996 | 46.1%(1,410) | 39.6%(1,213) | D+6.4 | -1.4 |
| 1992 | 42.3%(1,435) | 34.4%(1,169) | D+7.8 | +1.0 |
| 1988 | 53.4%(1,818) | 46.5%(1,586) | D+6.8 | +24.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.2%(616) | 78.9%(2,535) | R+59.7 | -2.7 |
| 2022 | 21.5%(479) | 78.5%(1,753) | R+57.1 | -12.3 |
| 2018 | 25.9%(709) | 70.7%(1,935) | R+44.8 | -9.4 |
| 2016 | 30.7%(989) | 66.2%(2,129) | R+35.4 | -27.9 |
| 2012 | 44.2%(1,424) | 51.8%(1,667) | R+7.5 | +18.6 |
| 2010 | 35.6%(996) | 61.7%(1,727) | R+26.1 | -8.1 |
| 2006 | 40.2%(1,208) | 58.2%(1,748) | R+18.0 | +24.0 |
| 2004 | 28.7%(994) | 70.7%(2,450) | R+42.0 | -33.9 |
| 2002 | 45.7%(1,241) | 53.7%(1,459) | R+8.0 | -0.1 |
| 2000 | 45.7%(1,493) | 53.7%(1,753) | R+8.0 | -2.5 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15.7%(504) | 82.6%(2,656) | R+67.0 | -3.2 |
| 2020 | 17.3%(576) | 81.0%(2,698) | R+63.7 | -29.6 |
| 2016 | 32.0%(1,037) | 66.1%(2,143) | R+34.1 | -25.0 |
| 2012 | 44.4%(1,426) | 53.6%(1,721) | R+9.2 | +18.1 |
| 2008 | 35.9%(1,189) | 63.1%(2,094) | R+27.3 | +7.3 |
| 2004 | 32.1%(1,116) | 66.7%(2,316) | R+34.6 | -30.8 |
| 2000 | 47.8%(1,547) | 51.5%(1,668) | R+3.7 | -46.1 |
| 1996 | 70.5%(2,154) | 28.1%(859) | D+42.4 | +30.7 |
| 1992 | 55.9%(1,891) | 44.1%(1,494) | D+11.7 | +29.6 |
| 1988 | 41.1%(1,397) | 58.9%(2,004) | R+17.8 | -13.5 |