Carbon County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular
Montana · Presidential Elections 1896–2024
R+32.4
2024 Margin
R+3.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
10K
Population
Carbon County, Montana voted R+32.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 4,719 votes (64.67%). This represented a R+3.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
3.1
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
-1.1/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+32.4
2020→2024 SwingR+3.4%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record33
Demographics
Population10,473
Median Age
50.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
30.3%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$66,780(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
91.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.9%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
74.1%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
8.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.7%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.4%(US: 17.1%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.3%(2,353) | 64.7%(4,719) | R+32.4 | -3.4 |
| 2020 | 34.3%(2,421) | 63.4%(4,468) | R+29.0 | +3.0 |
| 2016 | 30.5%(1,828) | 62.6%(3,748) | R+32.0 | -8.3 |
| 2012 | 36.7%(2,146) | 60.4%(3,533) | R+23.7 | -12.1 |
| 2008 | 42.5%(2,443) | 54.1%(3,108) | R+11.6 | +16.5 |
| 2004 | 34.7%(1,847) | 62.8%(3,342) | R+28.1 | +4.8 |
| 2000 | 29.9%(1,434) | 62.8%(3,008) | R+32.9 | -26.7 |
| 1996 | 38.9%(1,854) | 45.1%(2,147) | R+6.2 | -5.9 |
| 1992 | 33.5%(1,549) | 33.8%(1,562) | R+0.3 | +6.9 |
| 1988 | 45.6%(2,039) | 52.8%(2,360) | R+7.2 | +19.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.8%(2,794) | 60.4%(4,459) | R+22.5 | +3.4 |
| 2020 | 37.0%(2,591) | 63.0%(4,404) | R+25.9 | -17.2 |
| 2018 | 44.2%(2,680) | 52.9%(3,209) | R+8.7 | +17.8 |
| 2014 | 35.8%(1,680) | 62.3%(2,926) | R+26.5 | -24.9 |
| 2012 | 45.9%(2,691) | 47.5%(2,788) | R+1.6 | -47.9 |
| 2008 | 73.1%(4,085) | 26.9%(1,502) | D+46.2 | +51.5 |
| 2006 | 45.9%(2,258) | 51.3%(2,519) | R+5.3 | -38.6 |
| 2002 | 63.8%(2,737) | 30.4%(1,306) | D+33.3 | +43.2 |
| 2000 | 43.8%(2,151) | 53.7%(2,636) | R+9.9 | -16.1 |
| 1996 | 50.4%(2,431) | 44.1%(2,129) | D+6.3 | +44.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.2%(2,370) | 65.5%(4,812) | R+33.2 | -7.7 |
| 2020 | 35.3%(2,498) | 60.8%(4,303) | R+25.5 | -19.5 |
| 2016 | 45.4%(2,775) | 51.5%(3,145) | R+6.0 | +2.0 |
| 2012 | 44.1%(2,576) | 52.2%(3,046) | R+8.1 | -37.9 |
| 2008 | 64.0%(3,669) | 34.2%(1,961) | D+29.8 | +26.8 |
| 2004 | 49.8%(2,627) | 46.9%(2,471) | D+3.0 | +17.8 |
| 2000 | 41.5%(2,019) | 56.4%(2,739) | R+14.8 | +45.9 |
| 1996 | 19.7%(934) | 80.3%(3,815) | R+60.7 | -51.0 |
| 1992 | 45.2%(2,115) | 54.8%(2,566) | R+9.6 | -1.4 |
| 1988 | 45.1%(2,013) | 53.3%(2,379) | R+8.2 | -54.4 |
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