Teton County, Montana: Northern Rural Secular

Montana Β· Presidential Elections 1896–2024

R+45.0
2024 Margin
R+1.5%
2020β†’2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
6K
Population

Teton County, Montana voted R+45.0 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 2,533 votes (70.99%). This represented a R+1.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968.

Electoral Behavior

🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all

Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.

Volatility
5.0
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
-1.2/yr (red)

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+45.0
2020β†’2024 SwingR+1.5%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record33

Demographics

Population6,226
Median Age
42.4(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
25.9%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$65,224(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
91.9%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.9%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
74.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
10.5%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
7.7%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
6.1%(US: 17.1%)

Presidential Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202426.0%(927)71.0%(2,533)R+45.0-1.5
202027.4%(1,007)70.9%(2,608)R+43.5-0.8
201625.4%(808)68.1%(2,170)R+42.7-11.3
201233.0%(1,082)64.4%(2,113)R+31.4-13.7
200839.5%(1,294)57.3%(1,874)R+17.7+17.6
200431.2%(1,047)66.5%(2,232)R+35.3+8.4
200025.6%(847)69.2%(2,294)R+43.7-28.2
199635.7%(1,188)51.1%(1,701)R+15.4-6.0
199230.6%(1,043)40.1%(1,364)R+9.4+8.2
198840.2%(1,303)57.8%(1,876)R+17.7+16.5

Senate Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.7%(1,216)64.4%(2,323)R+30.7+6.4
202031.4%(1,165)68.6%(2,541)R+37.1-21.5
201840.9%(1,290)56.5%(1,784)R+15.7+19.6
201431.4%(857)66.7%(1,819)R+35.3-22.6
201240.5%(1,341)53.1%(1,760)R+12.7-50.4
200868.9%(2,233)31.1%(1,009)D+37.8+54.1
200640.8%(1,256)57.2%(1,760)R+16.4-47.1
200262.7%(1,754)31.9%(893)D+30.8+53.5
200037.7%(1,215)60.5%(1,947)R+22.7-11.4
199642.1%(1,389)53.5%(1,764)R+11.4+36.4

Governor Elections

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202424.9%(891)73.0%(2,612)R+48.1-8.9
202028.6%(1,053)67.8%(2,497)R+39.2-29.0
201643.8%(1,441)54.0%(1,777)R+10.2+4.8
201240.8%(1,345)55.8%(1,838)R+15.0-36.8
200859.9%(1,973)38.1%(1,253)D+21.9+29.6
200444.8%(1,492)52.5%(1,748)R+7.7+8.4
200041.2%(1,360)57.3%(1,892)R+16.1+57.1
199613.4%(442)86.6%(2,858)R+73.2-53.1
199239.9%(1,341)60.1%(2,018)R+20.1-5.7
198842.3%(1,368)56.8%(1,837)R+14.5-52.0

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