
Competitive — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 77.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 8.5% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 3.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.5% | 35.1% |
| Catholic | 13.2% | 30.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 13.0% | 29.4% |
| Other | 2.2% | 4.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 55.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+4.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+7.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+0.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+0.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+5.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+13.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+10.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.2 |
1996: Perot 8.8% · 1992: Perot 20.8%