Competitive — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 26.1% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 2.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 24.3% | 62.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.8% | 17.6% |
| Other | 5.9% | 15.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.0% | 10.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.4% | 3.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 61.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+1.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+4.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+1.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+3.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+12.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+4.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+2.7 |
1996: Perot 9.1% · 1992: Perot 27%