Nassau County, New York: Republican Migration
New York · Presidential Elections 1900–2024
R+4.2
2024 Margin
R+13.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
🏠 GOP Migration
Classification
1.4M
Population
Nassau County, New York voted R+4.2 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 368,138 votes (51.44%). This represented a R+13.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024.
Electoral Behavior
🏠
Republican MigrationView all
Fast-growing counties attracting conservative migrants, shifting further red. Concentrated in ID, UT, and parts of TX/GA. These areas are both growing and becoming more Republican relative to national trends.
Volatility
5.6
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
-0.3/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+4.2
2020→2024 SwingR+13.7%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record32
Demographics
Population1,395,774
Median Age
41.7(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
48.7%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$137,709(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
55.4%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
18.5%(US: 18.6%)
Black
11.0%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
11.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
81.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
5.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
3.1%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
25.2%(US: 17.1%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.3%(338,453) | 51.4%(368,138) | R+4.2 | -13.7 |
| 2020 | 54.2%(396,504) | 44.7%(326,716) | D+9.6 | +3.4 |
| 2016 | 51.3%(332,154) | 45.1%(292,025) | D+6.2 | -1.4 |
| 2012 | 53.3%(302,695) | 45.6%(259,308) | D+7.6 | -0.8 |
| 2008 | 53.8%(342,185) | 45.4%(288,776) | D+8.4 | +2.8 |
| 2004 | 52.3%(323,070) | 46.6%(288,355) | D+5.6 | -13.9 |
| 2000 | 58.0%(342,226) | 38.5%(227,060) | D+19.5 | -0.1 |
| 1996 | 55.7%(303,587) | 36.1%(196,820) | D+19.6 | +13.7 |
| 1992 | 46.4%(282,593) | 40.5%(246,881) | D+5.9 | +20.6 |
| 1988 | 42.2%(250,130) | 57.0%(337,430) | R+14.7 | +9.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.7%(344,787) | 49.8%(345,325) | R+0.1 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 46.0%(236,556) | 47.3%(243,467) | R+1.3 | -19.2 |
| 2018 | 58.9%(294,186) | 41.0%(204,875) | D+17.9 | -13.0 |
| 2016 | 64.7%(403,274) | 33.8%(210,823) | D+30.9 | +2.2 |
| 2012 | 63.9%(342,644) | 35.1%(188,430) | D+28.7 | +8.7 |
| 2010 | 59.6%(230,103) | 39.6%(152,797) | D+20.0 | -2.2 |
| 2006 | 60.5%(221,110) | 38.2%(139,775) | D+22.2 | -16.5 |
| 2004 | 66.5%(387,085) | 27.7%(161,395) | D+38.8 | +47.0 |
| 2000 | 45.1%(263,962) | 53.4%(312,252) | R+8.3 | -1.8 |
| 1998 | 46.5%(196,881) | 52.9%(224,125) | R+6.4 | -9.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 44.8%(232,036) | 55.2%(286,147) | R+10.4 | -26.0 |
| 2018 | 56.9%(281,730) | 41.3%(204,399) | D+15.6 | +6.9 |
| 2014 | 52.8%(168,570) | 44.1%(140,842) | D+8.7 | -15.7 |
| 2010 | 60.5%(233,349) | 36.1%(139,432) | D+24.4 | -6.6 |
| 2006 | 64.9%(234,452) | 33.9%(122,567) | D+31.0 | +66.1 |
| 2002 | 26.4%(99,865) | 61.5%(232,785) | R+35.1 | +1.3 |
| 1998 | 28.3%(119,911) | 64.7%(274,105) | R+36.4 | -29.7 |
| 1994 | 44.7%(204,063) | 51.4%(234,382) | R+6.7 | -29.9 |
| 1990 | 49.3%(175,153) | 26.1%(92,486) | D+23.3 | +2.0 |
| 1986 | 56.7%(223,651) | 35.5%(139,924) | D+21.2 | +25.1 |