Cavalier County, North Dakota: Northern Rural Secular
North Dakota · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+48.8
2024 Margin
D+1.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
4K
Population
Cavalier County, North Dakota voted R+48.8 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 1,461 votes (73.53%). This represented a D+1.9% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
8.2
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.2/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+48.8
2020→2024 SwingD+1.9%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population3,704
Median Age
47.8(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
22.2%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$61,174(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.8%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
2.6%(US: 18.6%)
Homeownership
82.8%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
7.7%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.2%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.2%(US: 17.1%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.7%(491) | 73.5%(1,461) | R+48.8 | +1.9 |
| 2020 | 23.5%(474) | 74.2%(1,499) | R+50.7 | -6.8 |
| 2016 | 23.7%(476) | 67.7%(1,357) | R+43.9 | -25.7 |
| 2012 | 39.5%(818) | 57.8%(1,195) | R+18.2 | -8.9 |
| 2008 | 43.7%(930) | 53.0%(1,128) | R+9.3 | +16.7 |
| 2004 | 36.3%(887) | 62.3%(1,522) | R+26.0 | +11.8 |
| 2000 | 26.1%(618) | 63.8%(1,513) | R+37.8 | -27.8 |
| 1996 | 37.9%(941) | 47.9%(1,188) | R+9.9 | +11.2 |
| 1992 | 27.7%(866) | 48.9%(1,527) | R+21.1 | +0.9 |
| 1988 | 38.6%(1,333) | 60.6%(2,096) | R+22.1 | +18.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.3%(562) | 71.7%(1,421) | R+43.3 | +11.2 |
| 2022 | 17.0%(267) | 71.5%(1,123) | R+54.5 | -33.3 |
| 2018 | 39.1%(765) | 60.3%(1,181) | R+21.3 | +47.9 |
| 2016 | 14.2%(290) | 83.3%(1,707) | R+69.2 | -74.5 |
| 2012 | 52.5%(1,087) | 47.2%(977) | D+5.3 | +69.5 |
| 2010 | 17.5%(322) | 81.6%(1,503) | R+64.2 | -120.1 |
| 2006 | 77.3%(1,322) | 21.3%(365) | D+55.9 | +13.4 |
| 2004 | 71.3%(1,758) | 28.7%(708) | D+42.6 | +15.1 |
| 2000 | 63.7%(1,509) | 36.3%(859) | D+27.4 | -18.8 |
| 1998 | 72.5%(1,754) | 26.2%(634) | D+46.3 | +19.6 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.3%(401) | 75.6%(1,491) | R+55.3 | +4.8 |
| 2020 | 17.1%(343) | 77.1%(1,551) | R+60.1 | +0.7 |
| 2016 | 18.6%(374) | 79.3%(1,598) | R+60.8 | -23.6 |
| 2012 | 30.3%(621) | 67.5%(1,384) | R+37.2 | +23.7 |
| 2008 | 18.9%(405) | 79.8%(1,713) | R+61.0 | -6.5 |
| 2004 | 21.5%(528) | 76.0%(1,863) | R+54.5 | -41.7 |
| 2000 | 43.6%(1,045) | 56.3%(1,350) | R+12.7 | +17.9 |
| 1996 | 34.7%(844) | 65.3%(1,588) | R+30.6 | +1.2 |
| 1992 | 33.1%(1,013) | 65.0%(1,985) | R+31.8 | -53.0 |
| 1988 | 60.6%(2,085) | 39.4%(1,357) | D+21.1 | +16.5 |