Ashtabula County, Ohio: Northern Rural Secular
Ohio · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+28.3
2024 Margin
R+4.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
98K
Population
Ashtabula County, Ohio voted R+28.3 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 27,656 votes (63.47%). This represented a R+4.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
10.5
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.4/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+28.3
2020→2024 SwingR+4.7%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population97,574
Median Age
42.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
16.0%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$53,663(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.2%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
4.8%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.7%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
73.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
18.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.2%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.3%(US: 17.1%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.2%(15,345) | 63.5%(27,656) | R+28.3 | -4.7 |
| 2020 | 37.4%(16,497) | 60.9%(26,890) | R+23.5 | -5.0 |
| 2016 | 37.3%(15,577) | 55.8%(23,318) | R+18.5 | -31.1 |
| 2012 | 54.4%(23,803) | 41.8%(18,298) | D+12.6 | -0.9 |
| 2008 | 55.5%(25,027) | 42.0%(18,949) | D+13.5 | +6.8 |
| 2004 | 53.0%(24,060) | 46.3%(21,038) | D+6.7 | +1.9 |
| 2000 | 50.2%(19,831) | 45.5%(17,940) | D+4.8 | -10.8 |
| 1996 | 50.0%(19,341) | 34.3%(13,287) | D+15.6 | +2.6 |
| 1992 | 43.8%(18,843) | 30.8%(13,254) | D+13.0 | +5.5 |
| 1988 | 53.3%(20,536) | 45.8%(17,654) | D+7.5 | +13.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.3%(16,785) | 56.5%(24,117) | R+17.2 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 40.7%(12,561) | 59.2%(18,277) | R+18.5 | -20.6 |
| 2018 | 51.0%(16,473) | 49.0%(15,794) | D+2.1 | +25.2 |
| 2016 | 34.9%(14,097) | 58.0%(23,443) | R+23.1 | -33.0 |
| 2012 | 51.6%(21,973) | 41.7%(17,780) | D+9.8 | +18.2 |
| 2010 | 42.6%(12,740) | 51.0%(15,242) | R+8.4 | -32.0 |
| 2006 | 61.8%(21,151) | 38.2%(13,078) | D+23.6 | +40.8 |
| 2004 | 41.4%(18,378) | 58.6%(25,998) | R+17.2 | +0.8 |
| 2000 | 38.7%(14,764) | 56.7%(21,628) | R+18.0 | -8.6 |
| 1998 | 45.3%(13,483) | 54.7%(16,292) | R+9.4 | -4.0 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 31.5%(9,621) | 68.4%(20,903) | R+36.9 | -26.0 |
| 2018 | 42.4%(13,668) | 53.3%(17,184) | R+10.9 | +9.2 |
| 2014 | 38.1%(10,082) | 58.2%(15,390) | R+20.1 | -28.6 |
| 2010 | 50.9%(15,128) | 42.3%(12,582) | D+8.6 | -26.4 |
| 2006 | 65.7%(22,255) | 30.7%(10,406) | D+35.0 | +47.2 |
| 2002 | 41.9%(11,472) | 54.1%(14,825) | R+12.2 | -8.1 |
| 1998 | 45.4%(13,123) | 49.6%(14,336) | R+4.2 | +35.8 |
| 1994 | 28.4%(8,799) | 68.4%(21,164) | R+39.9 | -36.4 |
| 1990 | 48.3%(15,627) | 51.8%(16,761) | R+3.5 | -37.0 |
| 1986 | 66.7%(19,446) | 33.3%(9,693) | D+33.5 | +0.9 |