Guernsey County, Ohio: Northern Rural Secular
Ohio · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
R+52.0
2024 Margin
R+3.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
🌾 N. Rural
Classification
38K
Population
Guernsey County, Ohio voted R+52.0 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 13,314 votes (75.54%). This represented a R+3.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000.
Electoral Behavior
🌾
Northern Rural SecularView all
Rural counties in the Upper Midwest (MN/IA/WI/IN/MO/IL/MI) that voted for Obama in 2008 but have swung dramatically toward Republicans. These historically Democratic, secular farming communities have realigned.
Volatility
11.4
Elasticity
Inelastic
Trend
-1.9/yr (red)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+52.0
2020→2024 SwingR+3.5%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population38,438
Median Age
42.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
15.3%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$53,901(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.4%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
1.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
1.4%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
71.6%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
15.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.1%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.5%(US: 17.1%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.6%(4,154) | 75.5%(13,314) | R+52.0 | -3.5 |
| 2020 | 25.1%(4,577) | 73.5%(13,407) | R+48.4 | -6.4 |
| 2016 | 25.9%(4,359) | 67.9%(11,445) | R+42.0 | -33.0 |
| 2012 | 43.7%(7,450) | 52.7%(8,993) | R+9.1 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | 43.9%(7,625) | 52.9%(9,197) | R+9.1 | +3.3 |
| 2004 | 43.5%(7,768) | 55.8%(9,962) | R+12.3 | -2.3 |
| 2000 | 43.0%(6,643) | 53.0%(8,181) | R+10.0 | -15.0 |
| 1996 | 44.5%(6,731) | 39.5%(5,970) | D+5.0 | +0.9 |
| 1992 | 39.3%(6,428) | 35.2%(5,749) | D+4.2 | +21.9 |
| 1988 | 40.7%(5,926) | 58.4%(8,507) | R+17.7 | +16.7 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.8%(4,839) | 68.1%(11,836) | R+40.3 | +2.2 |
| 2022 | 28.8%(3,505) | 71.2%(8,678) | R+42.4 | -22.4 |
| 2018 | 40.0%(5,014) | 60.0%(7,529) | R+20.1 | +28.1 |
| 2016 | 23.6%(3,836) | 71.8%(11,639) | R+48.1 | -38.3 |
| 2012 | 42.1%(6,868) | 52.0%(8,477) | R+9.9 | +15.2 |
| 2010 | 35.0%(4,174) | 60.0%(7,162) | R+25.0 | -35.8 |
| 2006 | 55.4%(7,334) | 44.6%(5,905) | D+10.8 | +41.0 |
| 2004 | 34.9%(6,076) | 65.1%(11,330) | R+30.2 | -2.0 |
| 2000 | 33.8%(5,046) | 62.0%(9,254) | R+28.2 | -15.3 |
| 1998 | 43.5%(4,978) | 56.5%(6,452) | R+12.9 | -3.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20.8%(2,530) | 78.0%(9,486) | R+57.2 | -23.4 |
| 2018 | 31.4%(3,965) | 65.2%(8,242) | R+33.8 | +2.3 |
| 2014 | 30.5%(3,111) | 66.7%(6,794) | R+36.1 | -33.6 |
| 2010 | 46.0%(5,594) | 48.6%(5,900) | R+2.5 | -30.6 |
| 2006 | 62.4%(8,350) | 34.4%(4,601) | D+28.0 | +49.3 |
| 2002 | 37.3%(4,042) | 58.5%(6,348) | R+21.3 | -8.9 |
| 1998 | 41.2%(4,600) | 53.5%(5,982) | R+12.4 | +21.4 |
| 1994 | 30.7%(3,430) | 64.5%(7,203) | R+33.8 | -22.6 |
| 1990 | 44.4%(5,393) | 55.6%(6,758) | R+11.2 | -12.6 |
| 1986 | 50.7%(6,033) | 49.3%(5,870) | D+1.4 | -12.5 |