Lucas County, Ohio: Declining Industrial Metro
Ohio · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+12.4
2024 Margin
R+4.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
🏭 Rust Belt
Classification
431K
Population
Lucas County, Ohio voted D+12.4 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 106,320 votes (55.23%). This represented a R+4.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988.
Electoral Behavior
🏭
Declining Industrial MetroView all
Rust Belt urban centers that voted for Obama but have shifted dramatically toward Republicans. Former manufacturing hubs experiencing economic decline and Democratic erosion.
Volatility
4.7
Elasticity
Sticky
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+12.4
2020→2024 SwingR+4.3%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population431,279
Median Age
38.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
39.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$57,265(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
66.7%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
7.7%(US: 18.6%)
Black
19.7%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
1.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
61.7%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
17.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.2%(106,320) | 42.8%(82,398) | D+12.4 | -4.3 |
| 2020 | 57.5%(115,411) | 40.8%(81,763) | D+16.8 | -0.7 |
| 2016 | 55.1%(110,833) | 37.7%(75,698) | D+17.5 | -14.0 |
| 2012 | 64.5%(136,616) | 33.0%(69,940) | D+31.5 | +0.1 |
| 2008 | 64.8%(142,852) | 33.4%(73,706) | D+31.4 | +10.7 |
| 2004 | 60.2%(132,715) | 39.5%(87,160) | D+20.7 | +2.0 |
| 2000 | 57.8%(108,344) | 39.1%(73,342) | D+18.7 | -7.1 |
| 1996 | 57.7%(104,911) | 32.0%(58,120) | D+25.8 | +7.7 |
| 1992 | 49.3%(99,989) | 31.2%(63,297) | D+18.1 | +9.4 |
| 1988 | 53.9%(99,755) | 45.3%(83,788) | D+8.6 | +10.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.0%(107,783) | 38.4%(72,544) | D+18.6 | -0.9 |
| 2022 | 59.8%(78,727) | 40.2%(53,009) | D+19.5 | -14.0 |
| 2018 | 66.7%(100,807) | 33.3%(50,223) | D+33.5 | +29.6 |
| 2016 | 49.6%(95,425) | 45.7%(87,961) | D+3.9 | -28.7 |
| 2012 | 64.2%(131,887) | 31.7%(65,067) | D+32.5 | +24.3 |
| 2010 | 52.7%(74,223) | 44.5%(62,636) | D+8.2 | -24.8 |
| 2006 | 66.5%(94,630) | 33.5%(47,659) | D+33.0 | +47.8 |
| 2004 | 42.6%(90,250) | 57.4%(121,535) | R+14.8 | -6.1 |
| 2000 | 43.0%(74,682) | 51.7%(89,753) | R+8.7 | -2.2 |
| 1998 | 46.8%(59,228) | 53.2%(67,409) | R+6.5 | -10.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 45.5%(60,516) | 54.3%(72,214) | R+8.8 | -30.6 |
| 2018 | 59.2%(90,232) | 37.4%(57,004) | D+21.8 | +27.1 |
| 2014 | 45.5%(48,179) | 50.8%(53,808) | R+5.3 | -30.3 |
| 2010 | 61.0%(88,210) | 36.0%(52,070) | D+25.0 | -10.6 |
| 2006 | 66.6%(95,118) | 31.0%(44,307) | D+35.6 | +56.4 |
| 2002 | 38.3%(49,648) | 59.1%(76,572) | R+20.8 | -43.5 |
| 1998 | 59.1%(78,310) | 36.3%(48,158) | D+22.8 | +64.0 |
| 1994 | 27.5%(33,528) | 68.8%(83,820) | R+41.3 | -43.3 |
| 1990 | 51.0%(71,015) | 49.0%(68,228) | D+2.0 | -35.4 |
| 1986 | 68.7%(82,993) | 31.3%(37,838) | D+37.4 | +2.3 |