Muskogee County, Oklahoma: Deep Red Country

Oklahoma · Presidential Elections 19082024

R+37.6
2024 Margin
R+3.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2004
Voting Streak
66K
Population

Muskogee County, Oklahoma voted R+37.6 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 16,550 votes (67.95%). This represented a R+3.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+37.6
2020→2024 SwingR+3.7%
Voting StreakR since 2004
Elections on Record30

Demographics

Population66,339
Median Age
38.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
19.0%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$50,289(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
54.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
7.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
10.0%(US: 12.3%)
Homeownership
66.4%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
20.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.2%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
4.0%(US: 17.1%)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
EvangelicalStrongly R
60.3%(+43.8 vs US)
Mainline ProtestantSuburban swing
6.4%(+1.2 vs US)
Black ProtestantStrongly D
4.2%(+2.0 vs US)
CatholicSwing vote
2.8%(-15.9 vs US)
LDS/MormonHistorically R
0.8%(-1.2 vs US)

Age Distribution

Median:38.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18Future voters
24.4%
18-29Lean D, low turnout
9.0%
30-44Swing voters
19.1%
45-64Lean R, high turnout
30.5%
65+Lean R, highest turnout
17.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Source: Census ACS
ManufacturingAbove avg
14.4%
Retail Trade
10.8%
Education
8.9%
Construction
6.1%
HealthcareVery low
5.3%
Professional ServicesVery low
5.0%
Political relevance:
Healthcare: ACA debatesProfessional Services: College-educated base
+ 1 more industries

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202430.4%(7,400)68.0%(16,550)R+37.6R+3.7
202032.0%(8,027)65.9%(16,526)R+33.9R+4.7
201632.9%(7,977)62.1%(15,043)R+29.2R+14.4
201242.6%(9,952)57.4%(13,404)R+14.8D+0.3
200842.5%(11,294)57.5%(15,289)R+15.0R+5.9
200445.4%(12,585)54.6%(15,124)R+9.2R+12.0
200050.7%(12,520)47.9%(11,820)D+2.8R+13.0
199651.5%(12,963)35.6%(8,974)D+15.8R+1.5
199248.8%(13,619)31.4%(8,782)D+17.3D+6.9
198854.9%(13,760)44.5%(11,147)D+10.4D+18.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202232.8%(11,663)64.0%(22,767)R+31.2R+2.7
202033.5%(8,381)62.1%(15,529)R+28.6D+3.3
201631.0%(7,472)62.9%(15,144)R+31.9R+7.6
201436.0%(5,148)60.3%(8,616)R+24.3D+10.5
201031.3%(5,481)66.1%(11,572)R+34.8R+41.8
200851.4%(12,833)44.4%(11,079)D+7.0D+4.1
200450.3%(13,906)47.4%(13,093)D+2.9D+0.2
200247.8%(9,513)45.0%(8,960)D+2.8D+19.1
199840.6%(7,305)57.0%(10,242)R+16.3R+24.1
199652.6%(13,059)44.8%(11,124)D+7.8D+2.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202242.2%(7,517)55.3%(9,835)R+13.0R+13.0
201848.3%(9,516)48.3%(9,515)D+0.0R+1.5
201449.1%(7,039)47.6%(6,822)D+1.5D+7.5
201047.0%(8,348)53.0%(9,405)R+6.0R+57.5
200675.8%(12,885)24.2%(4,117)D+51.6D+33.1
200248.7%(9,867)30.3%(6,132)D+18.4D+4.7
199856.2%(10,265)42.5%(7,761)D+13.7D+4.7
199442.9%(8,515)33.9%(6,728)D+9.0R+30.4
199065.0%(11,525)25.5%(4,526)D+39.5D+37.4
198648.9%(9,155)46.9%(8,772)D+2.0R+37.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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