Wagoner County, Oklahoma: Deep Red Country
Oklahoma · Presidential Elections 1908–2024
R+49.8
2024 Margin
D+0.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
81K
Population
Wagoner County, Oklahoma voted R+49.8 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 28,487 votes (73.99%). This represented a D+0.3% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980.
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+49.8
2020→2024 SwingD+0.3%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record30
Demographics
Population80,981
Median Age
38.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
26.9%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$75,082(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
67.6%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
8.2%(US: 18.6%)
Black
3.4%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
2.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
81.0%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
9.3%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.7%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
4.8%(US: 17.1%)
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020EvangelicalStrongly R
16.8%
Mainline ProtestantSuburban swing
3.8%(-1.4 vs US)
LDS/MormonHistorically R
2.0%
Black ProtestantStrongly D
0.6%(-1.6 vs US)
CatholicSwing vote
0.5%(-18.2 vs US)
Age Distribution
Median:38.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18Future voters
23.8%
18-29Lean D, low turnout
7.7%↓
30-44Swing voters
20.2%
45-64Lean R, high turnout
31.4%↑
65+Lean R, highest turnout
16.9%
National average
Employment by Industry
Source: Census ACSManufacturingAbove avg
13.3%Retail Trade
12.9%ConstructionAbove avg
8.9%Professional ServicesBelow avg
8.8%EducationBelow avg
6.4%HealthcareVery low
4.5%Political relevance:
Healthcare: ACA debates
+ 1 more industries
Presidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.2%(9,330) | 74.0%(28,487) | R+49.8 | D+0.3 |
| 2020 | 23.9%(8,464) | 74.0%(26,165) | R+50.1 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 21.5%(6,723) | 73.5%(23,005) | R+52.0 | R+6.3 |
| 2012 | 27.1%(7,791) | 72.8%(20,900) | R+45.7 | R+3.9 |
| 2008 | 29.1%(8,810) | 70.9%(21,441) | R+41.8 | R+6.6 |
| 2004 | 32.4%(9,157) | 67.6%(19,081) | R+35.1 | R+13.1 |
| 2000 | 38.3%(8,244) | 60.3%(12,981) | R+22.0 | R+13.6 |
| 1996 | 39.6%(7,749) | 48.0%(9,392) | R+8.4 | D+0.9 |
| 1992 | 32.7%(7,041) | 42.0%(9,053) | R+9.3 | D+6.7 |
| 1988 | 41.6%(7,378) | 57.7%(10,219) | R+16.0 | D+24.5 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25.3%(13,595) | 71.4%(38,310) | R+46.1 | R+0.7 |
| 2020 | 25.1%(8,851) | 70.5%(24,863) | R+45.4 | D+9.3 |
| 2016 | 19.4%(6,037) | 74.2%(23,039) | R+54.7 | R+6.1 |
| 2014 | 24.2%(4,033) | 72.8%(12,139) | R+48.6 | D+7.8 |
| 2010 | 20.5%(4,254) | 76.8%(15,973) | R+56.4 | R+31.2 |
| 2008 | 35.5%(10,009) | 60.7%(17,108) | R+25.2 | R+8.1 |
| 2004 | 39.8%(11,162) | 56.9%(15,963) | R+17.1 | D+5.6 |
| 2002 | 34.7%(6,367) | 57.4%(10,540) | R+22.7 | D+6.8 |
| 1998 | 33.9%(4,926) | 63.4%(9,216) | R+29.5 | R+14.0 |
| 1996 | 40.8%(7,893) | 56.4%(10,891) | R+15.5 | D+0.4 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 32.9%(8,846) | 64.9%(17,434) | R+32.0 | R+2.5 |
| 2018 | 33.5%(8,700) | 63.0%(16,346) | R+29.5 | D+1.4 |
| 2014 | 32.9%(5,500) | 63.8%(10,675) | R+30.9 | D+5.5 |
| 2010 | 31.8%(6,678) | 68.2%(14,314) | R+36.4 | R+62.3 |
| 2006 | 62.9%(10,977) | 37.1%(6,464) | D+25.9 | D+27.4 |
| 2002 | 39.4%(7,320) | 40.9%(7,595) | R+1.5 | D+1.0 |
| 1998 | 48.0%(7,067) | 50.5%(7,425) | R+2.4 | D+11.5 |
| 1994 | 33.4%(5,167) | 47.4%(7,319) | R+13.9 | R+41.0 |
| 1990 | 58.1%(7,334) | 31.0%(3,911) | D+27.1 | D+36.6 |
| 1986 | 41.4%(5,166) | 50.8%(6,344) | R+9.4 | R+34.2 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab