Competitive — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 29.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 1.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 1.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.7% | 49.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.6% | 34.0% |
| Other | 5.1% | 11.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.4% | 7.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.2% | 4.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 54.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+2.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+1.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+4.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+3.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+2.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+9.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.9 |
1996: Perot 8.2% · 1992: Perot 23.7%