Safe Republican — shifted 5.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 29.7% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.7% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 2.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.2% | 37.8% |
| Catholic | 14.0% | 34.7% |
| Other | 8.4% | 20.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 6.9% | 17.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.5% | 6.2% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 59.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+37.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+32.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+34.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+27.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.6 |
1996: Perot 11.6% · 1992: Perot 28.4%