Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 55.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 19.6% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 18.6% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.9% | 65.2% |
| Catholic | 8.7% | 16.2% |
| Black Protestant | 4.3% | 8.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 7.2% |
| Other | 1.8% | 3.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 46.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+58.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+57.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+52.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+43.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+42.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+31.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.9 |
1996: Perot 8.7% · 1992: Perot 24.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%