Safe Republican — shifted 5.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 23.5% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 12.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 38.8% | 55.1% |
| Catholic | 14.0% | 19.9% |
| Black Protestant | 9.9% | 14.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.5% | 7.8% |
| Other | 2.1% | 2.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 29.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+52.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+46.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+43.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+35.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+24.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.3 |
1996: Perot 8.5% · 1992: Perot 23.6%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%