Safe Republican — shifted 9.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 31.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 65.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.2% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 31.6% | 51.0% |
| Catholic | 25.9% | 41.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.5% | 4.1% |
| Other | 1.9% | 3.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 38.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+43.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+34.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+29.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+18.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+10.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+17.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.4 |
1996: Perot 8.8% · 1992: Perot 21.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%