Safe Republican — shifted 4.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 60.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 27.8% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 7.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.8% | 35.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 19.3% | 31.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 12.8% | 21.0% |
| Black Protestant | 4.0% | 6.5% |
| Other | 3.2% | 5.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.7% |
| Non-religious | 38.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+62.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+58.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+60.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+50.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+51.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+46.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+24.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+22.0 |
1996: Perot 7.2% · 1992: Perot 20.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%