Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 44.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 45.0% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 5.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.4% | 50.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.9% | 33.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 7.9% |
| Other | 2.2% | 5.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 2.7% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 2.6% |
| Non-religious | 55.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+18.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+13.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+20.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+17.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+8.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+14.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+3.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.8 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%