Safe Republican — shifted 7.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 26.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 22.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.8% | 52.9% |
| Catholic | 12.6% | 26.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.6% | 7.6% |
| Other | 3.5% | 7.4% |
| Black Protestant | 2.5% | 5.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.8% |
| Non-religious | 53.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+16.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+8.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+14.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+16.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+9.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+31.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+13.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+11.3 |
1996: Perot 6.4% · 1992: Perot 20%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%