Safe Republican — shifted 10.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 27.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 10.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 15.8% | 39.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.4% | 36.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.1% | 12.8% |
| Other | 2.7% | 6.7% |
| Black Protestant | 1.7% | 4.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 3.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 60.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+24.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+23.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+35.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+28.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+39.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+43.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+21.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+18.5 |
1996: Perot 5.7% · 1992: Perot 21%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%