Safe Republican — shifted 5.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 62.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 22.7% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 10.6% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 28.8% | 43.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.6% | 37.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.5% | 12.8% |
| Other | 3.9% | 5.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.8% | 4.2% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 33.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+62.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+57.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+55.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+45.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.7 |
1996: Perot 7% · 1992: Perot 20.6%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%