Safe Republican — shifted 7.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 40.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 49.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 2.6% |
▶Asian(4) | 4.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.6% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.1% | 42.6% |
| Catholic | 26.6% | 37.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.7% | 9.6% |
| Other | 6.6% | 9.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 29.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+52.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+36.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+26.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+20.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+25.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.3 |
1996: Perot 8.3% · 1992: Perot 23.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%