Safe Republican — shifted 3.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 26.5% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 8.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.5% | 46.3% |
| Catholic | 11.1% | 31.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.6% | 10.0% |
| Black Protestant | 3.3% | 9.2% |
| Other | 1.2% | 3.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 3.0% |
| Non-religious | 64.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+65.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+61.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+61.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+51.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+48.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+39.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.8 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%