Safe Republican — shifted 7.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 34 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 21.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 76.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 2.6% |
Asian | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.5% | 55.1% |
| Catholic | 19.9% | 31.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.1% | 6.6% |
| Other | 4.1% | 6.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 2.8% |
| Non-religious | 37.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+51.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+40.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+41.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+46.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+56.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+49.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+27.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+26.9 |
1996: Perot 6.1% · 1992: Perot 13.9%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%