Safe Republican — shifted 5.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 36 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 53.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 43.0% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 2.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 52.5% | 50.6% |
| Catholic | 34.7% | 33.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 16.4% | 15.8% |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+73.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+68.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+41.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+46.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+31.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+54.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+42.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+23.2 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%