Safe Republican — shifted 3.0pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 52.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 28.2% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 14.5% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.8% | 68.6% |
| Catholic | 7.9% | 15.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 6.8% |
| Black Protestant | 3.2% | 6.4% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 49.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+31.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+34.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+44.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+47.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+49.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+41.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+17.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+12.0 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%