Safe Republican — shifted 7.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 49.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 25.0% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 18.7% |
▶Asian(3) | 5.6% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.9% | 45.9% |
| Catholic | 18.5% | 34.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.6% | 12.2% |
| Black Protestant | 3.7% | 6.8% |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 45.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+44.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+37.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+33.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+24.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+17.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+16.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.2 |
1996: Perot 8% · 1992: Perot 20.5%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%