Safe Republican — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 22.1% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 5.8% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.6% | 27.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 14.5% | 17.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 16.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+58.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+54.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+45.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+43.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+13.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.8 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%